List of publications


Articles online:



On the role of social clusters in the transmission of infectious diseases. Theoretical Population Biology, 61 (2002),163-169. PDF

On the role of reinfection in the transmission of infectious diseases. Journal of  Theoretical Biology, 225 (2003) 59-63. PDF

Can HIV invade a population  that is already sick? Bulletin of the Brazilian Mathematical Society, 34 (2003) 1-10. PDF.

Coexistence results for a  spatial stochastic epidemic model, with Norio Konno and Hideki Tanemura. Markov processes and related fields, 10 (2004),367-376. PDF.

Mass extinctions: an alternative to the Allee effect.  Annals of Applied Probability 15 (2005), 984-991. PDF

A note on branching random walks on finite sets , with Tom Mountford. Journal of Applied Probability 42 (2005), 287-294. PDF

The probability of treatment induced drug resistance. Acta Biotheoretica, 54, 2006, 13-19 PDF

Chapter entitled "Interacting particle systems in population biology" in the book "Mathematical and computational methods in biology", A. Maass, A. Martinez, E.Pecou editors, (2006) Hermann, Paris.PDF

A stochastic model for cancer risk. Genetics, 174 (2006), 545-547.PDF



A contact process with mutations on a tree, with T.M. Liggett and J. Schweinsberg. Stochastic Processes and their applications 118 (2008), 319-332. PDF

A spatial stochastic model for virus dynamics. Journal of Statistical Physics, 128 (2007), 771-779. PDF

Spatial and non spatial stochastic models for immune response (with Jason Schweinsberg). Markov Processes and Related Fields 14, 2008, 255-276. .PDF

On the role of social aggregation in the extinction of a species. Progress in Probability 60 (2008),

V. Sidoravicius and M.E. Vares Editors, Birkhauser. PDF

Survival and existence for a multitype contact process, with J.T. Cox. Annals of probability 37 (2009), 853-876 . PDF

Will the announced influenza pandemic really happen? PDF

The age incidence for any cancer can be explained by a one mutation model. PDF

A stochastic model for phylogenetic trees, with T. Liggett. Journal of Applied Probability 46 (2009), 601-607 . PDF

Contact process in a wedge, with Ted Cox and Nevena Maric. Journal of Statistical Physics 139 (2010), 506-517. PDF



Strength in numbers? Not always! Physica A 390 (2011) 1737-1740 PDF

A stochastic model of evolution, with Herve Guiol and Fabio Machado. Markov Processes Relat. Fields 17, 253–258 (2011) PDF

Modeling competition between two influenza strains. Advances in Superprocesses and PDE's, J. Englander and B. Rider editors (2013). Springer Verlag.PDF

A spatial stochastic model for rumor transmission (with Cristian F. Coletti, Pablo M. Rodriguez) Journal of statistical physics (2012), 147, 375-381 arXiv:1202.4019

Bacterial persistence: a winning strategy? (with Olivier Garet, Regine Marchand) Markov Processes and Related Fields 18 (2012), 639-650. arXiv:1109.5132

A Branching Process for Virus Survival  (with J. Theodore Cox) Journal of Applied Probability 49 (2012) 888-894. arXiv:1109.5124

On a link between a species survival time in an evolution model and the Bessel distributions (with Herve Guiol and Fabio P. Machado) Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics 27 (2013) 201-209. arXiv:1102.2817

An inhomogeneous contact process model for speciation. Journal of Statistical Physics 151 (2013) 980-984. arXiv:1305.2625




A stochastic model for the evolution of the influenza virus (with J.T.Cox). Markov Processes and related fields 20 (2014) 155-166. arXiv:1302.2362

Waiting for the second mutation: an alternative to the Moran model. Physica A 401 (2014) 224-227. arXiv:1306.6919

Does random dispersion help survival? Journal of Statistical Physics (2015) 159:101–107. arXiv:1306.6919

Survival under high mutation. arXiv:1306.6919